It’s happening again!

Remember this?

That cold front actually dropped 54mm on us in just under 24 hours.

And so yes, that is how it’s going to work, and so I wasn’t wrong in my assessment.

Check out this weekend:

We get somewhere around 1400mm of rainfall a year in this bit of Cape Town. So to get another 100mm (give or take) over 3 days this weekend on top of the 200mm from the last two weeks would really be quite something.

And the good news is that the rainfall over the dams is above the long term average for this time of year for just the second time this decade.

At least we’re not on the Garden Route this week.

Don’t panic (but…)

It reads like the script of some disaster movie. A luxury cruise ship, full of 91 posh people (and 61 crew) from 23 countries, taking in some of the most amazing sights (and sites) of the Southern Hemisphere.

And then a deadly viral outbreak onboard. “Ebola-lite”, as one news outlet inaccurately described it.
One guy dies, his wife tries to escape through the biggest airport in Africa, but collapses as she tries to fly home. She dies.
There’s then a third death on board.
And a British man is in ICU in Johannesburg (quite a long way from where the ship actually docked, which wasn’t actually in SA at all).

On board, stuck just off the coast of Cape Verde, the rest of the passengers and crew are forced to isolate as they wait out the incubation time of the virus, which has a mortality rate of 30-60%. More people are ill, but the local hospitals don’t have the facilities to treat them, and the local Health Minister isn’t allowing anyone from the ship near the islands.

Understandable.

There’s a travel blogger on board, and it’s said that there’s no such thing as bad publicity, perhaps being part of an as yet uncontrolled outbreak of severe, often fatal respiratory disease on a small, densely-packed ship might reasonably be seen as an exception to that rule.

So… anything to worry about in SA?

Nah. Surely not for us. The boat is in Cape Verde: way, way up the West Coast from here.

In a statement on Monday, the Health Department of South Africa said:

In our view, there is no need for the public to panic because only two patients from the cruise ship have been within our borders.

And of course the guy in the ICU in Joburg was brought there under very controlled conditions.

It’s just the woman that collapsed at the airport, then. The woman whose husband probably died of Hantavirus: the woman who collapsed at OR Tambo and who then died (probably of Hantavirus) in hospital soon afterwards.

Thankfully, no issues here, because it’s just a bit of contact tracing, which will obviously have been done quickly and efficiently and… I’m sorry? What?

The only challenge is that we need anyone who came in contact with the two patients to come forward for screening and testing to check if they are not infected yet.

Right.

It’s been a week, guys. This really isn’t great news at a major international airport and with a virus with an incubation period of 2-3 (but sometimes up to 8) weeks.

Mind you. When it comes to burying one’s head in the sand…

Three deaths from severe respiratory illness, one patient in ICU with severe respiratory symptoms – and who has tested positive from Hantavirus – and two crew members exhibiting severe respiratory symptoms, and the cruise company is still saying that the cases might not be linked:

Hantavirus has not currently been confirmed in the two persons still on board who require medical care. Nor has it been established that the virus is connected to the three deaths associated with this voyage. The exact cause and any possible connection are being investigated.

I’ve seen this approach before somewhere…

Ah yes:

Obviously, there’s not a microbiologist or an epidemiologist anywhere in the world that thinks that these cases might – just possibly – be connected. Obviously.

All perfectly normal. Obviously.

I mean, you hope that this is all done now. But there’s no reason why it should be. We’re still within one month of the ship’s departure from Argentina – a country which…

…reports approximately 100 cases of Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome annually, with notable risks of rare human-to-human transmission, distinct from other global hantaviruses.

It’s going to be interesting couple of weeks ahead.

Horses that look better in the Parade Ring than they perform on the track

Example No.1:

We spent the morning walking along Struisbaai beach before heading off at lunchtime back to Cape Town (Azerbaijani radio all the way home) (IYKYK) to be de-sanded and ready to get to Hollywoodbets Kenilworth to see this guy’s race.

Let’s just say that we worked a lot harder than he did. Another disappointing performance.

Still, got a little bit of money back in the Lucky Last, so it wasn’t all bad.

And it was a beautiful day, but the weather has closed in already and we won’t be seeing the sun again until at least Thursday.

Lazy Saturday (afternoon)

After a really good night of braai’ing, beer and brandy, the last thing I felt like doing this morning was a Parkrun.

It’s often the last thing I feel like doing full stop, but at 7am this morning, it was an even less attractive option than usual.

But there’s more than one person in this marriage, and this was the occasion of Mrs 6000’s 50th Parkrun, and so I was up and ready to support her in this impressive achievement.

For the record, it was my 6th Parkrun, my first in almost 3 years, and my first in South Africa in almost 6 years. (I did say that it wasn’t my thing.)

But the Agulhas sunrise wasn’t bad…

The run done, I gave my legs a stretch on a speedy 2½km to the lighthouse, where we grabbed some decent coffee at the new Needles restaurant.

Home, showered and breakfasted, I just have to stay awake for United’s last game of the season, and then I can sleep off the excesses of last night and this morning.

Happy Saturday.